“There are two elections coming, the plebiscite of the people Nov 5th, the the vote of the Electoral College in December.
Trump has lost the plebiscite twice in a row and I expect him to lose again November 5.”
No republican has won the popular vote since Bush’s reelection, and he took office initially via a popular-vote-loss election. I think there’s a very real possibility that a republican will never take office with the popular vote again, or at least not for a very long time.
In any case, the OP was clearly asking about the vote that actually matters which is the electoral vote. I personally think both will go to Harris. The articles I’ve seen trying to paint a Trump victory have been using various stretches of imagination like pretending that Minnesota might be a toss-up. I also don’t see any compelling evidence that he’ll do any better in Michigan and Wisconsin this time. The only states I think might could flip from last election would be Pennsylvania and Georgia, but I don’t think even that gives him enough.